How many votes will be cast early in the Midterms?

As of Mon, 02 Nov 2026 02:28:14 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 42 million (98.0%), At least 45 million (97.0%), At least 51 million (97.0%). The market has $4K in volume and closes on Wed, 04 Nov 2026.

Updated: Mon, 02 Nov 2026 02:28:14 UTC

Current odds

Outcome	Chance	Yes price	No price
At least 42 million	98.0%	98.0¢	2.0¢
At least 45 million	97.0%	97.0¢	3.0¢
At least 51 million	97.0%	97.0¢	3.0¢
At least 54 million	97.0%	97.0¢	3.0¢
At least 48 million	97.0%	97.0¢	3.0¢
At least 57 million	80.0%	80.0¢	20.0¢
At least 60 million	42.0%	42.0¢	58.0¢
At least 63 million	21.0%	21.0¢	79.0¢
At least 66 million	10.0%	10.0¢	90.0¢
At least 69 million	8.0%	8.0¢	92.0¢

Market details

Venue: Kalshi
Volume: $4K
Liquidity: $4K
Closes: Wed, 04 Nov 2026

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 42 million:

If the national total of early votes reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election is at least 42 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The value is the "Total early votes" figure in the National Statistics section of the UF Election Lab's 2026 Early Voting Tracker, as displayed at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026. If the page is unavailable at that time, the sum of the voted_all values in the UF Election Lab's 2026 early vote data file (https://election.lab.ufl.edu/data-downloads/earlyvote/2026/US.csv) as of that time is used. Updates posted after that time are not counted.

Sources

Source: Kalshi market

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