How many US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 10:27:01 UTC, Polymarket traders price 2 (56.5%), 3 (23.5%), 1 (6.5%). The market has $7K in volume and closes on Tue, 01 Dec 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 56.5% | 56.5¢ | 43.5¢ |
| 3 | 23.5% | 23.5¢ | 76.5¢ |
| 1 | 6.5% | 6.5¢ | 93.5¢ |
| 4+ | 4.8% | 4.8¢ | 95.3¢ |
| 0 | 3.8% | 3.8¢ | 96.3¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $7K
- Liquidity: $98K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. Navy aircraft carriers physically located within the U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) area of responsibility at 12:00 PM ET on November 30, 2026. For the purposes of this market, “aircraft carriers” refers only to U.S. Navy aircraft carriers designated CVN (e.g., Nimitz-class and Gerald R. Ford-class carriers). Amphibious assault ships (LHA/LHD), other vessels, and ships of any other country will not count. A carrier will count if it is within the CENTCOM area of responsibility at the specified time, including while making a port call or other stop within the area. A carrier outside the CENTCOM area of responsibility at the specified time (e.g., in transit, or making a port call in the U.S. Indo-Pacific Command or U.S. European Command areas of responsibility) will not count, regardless of whether it is assigned to CENTCOM operations. A carrier that enters the area on November 30, 2026 will count only if it entered at or before 12:00 PM ET; a carrier that departs the area on November 30, 2026 will count only if it departed after 12:00 PM ET. Carrier locations will be determined by official information from the U.S. Navy, the U.S. Department of Defense, U.S. Central Command, U.S. Indo-Pacific Command, or U.S. European Command, or by a consensus of credible reporting, and may be established by information published after the specified time. In the event of ambiguity as to the number of carriers within the area at the sp…
Sources
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