How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago this month?

As of Tue, 22 Sep 2026 23:25:18 UTC, Kalshi traders price 26SEP (100.0%), 26SEP (1.0%), 26SEP (1.0%). The market has $15K in volume and closes on Thu, 01 Oct 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
26SEP100.0%100.0¢0.0¢
26SEP1.0%1.0¢99.0¢
26SEP1.0%1.0¢99.0¢
26SEP1.0%1.0¢99.0¢
26SEP1.0%1.0¢99.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 26SEP:

If Trump makes exactly 3 trips to Mar-a-Lago in Sep 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. A single visit begins when the President arrives in Mar-a-Lago and ends when the President has returned to the White House. A visit need not end to be included – i.e. if Sep 2026 ends with the President still there, that visit counts for the purposes of the count. If the President is in Mar-a-Lago at the beginning of Sep 2026, that will count as a visit.

Sources

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