How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago this month?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 12:21:34 UTC, Kalshi traders price 26OCT (89.0%), 26OCT (17.0%), 26OCT (1.0%). The market has $112K in volume and closes on Sun, 01 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26OCT | 89.0% | 89.0¢ | 11.0¢ |
| 26OCT | 17.0% | 17.0¢ | 83.0¢ |
| 26OCT | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| 26OCT | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| 26OCT | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| 26OCT | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $112K
- Liquidity: $112K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 26OCT:
If the number of trips Trump makes to Mar-a-Lago in Oct 2026 is exactly 0, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved A single visit begins when the President arrives in Mar-a-Lago and ends when the President has returned to the White House. A visit need not end to be included - i.e. if Oct 2026 ends with the President still there, that visit counts for the purposes of the count. If the President is in Mar-a-Lago at the beginning of Oct 2026, that will count as a visit.
Sources
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