How many Texas counties will James Talarico win this year?
As of Wed, 04 Nov 2026 14:24:21 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 24 (55.0%), At least 20 (55.0%), At least 22 (55.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Sun, 07 Mar 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 24 | 55.0% | 55.0¢ | 45.0¢ |
| At least 20 | 55.0% | 55.0¢ | 45.0¢ |
| At least 22 | 55.0% | 55.0¢ | 45.0¢ |
| At least 26 | 53.0% | 53.0¢ | 47.0¢ |
| At least 30 | 52.0% | 52.0¢ | 48.0¢ |
| At least 28 | 52.0% | 52.0¢ | 48.0¢ |
| At least 34 | 51.0% | 51.0¢ | 49.0¢ |
| At least 32 | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| At least 36 | 49.0% | 49.0¢ | 51.0¢ |
| At least 42 | 49.0% | 49.0¢ | 51.0¢ |
| At least 38 | 49.0% | 49.0¢ | 51.0¢ |
| At least 40 | 49.0% | 49.0¢ | 51.0¢ |
| At least 44 | 47.0% | 47.0¢ | 53.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $1K
- Liquidity: $1K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 24:
If the number of Texas counties won by James Talarico is at least 24 in the November 3, 2026 U.S. Senate general election, then the market resolves to Yes. A county counts as won by James Talarico if he receives more votes there than any other candidate. All 254 Texas counties are counted. The first official, non-preliminary Texas Secretary of State result or statewide canvass available for the Nov 3, 2026 general election determines the count.
Sources
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