How many states will Trump visit this month?
As of Wed, 30 Sep 2026 19:25:27 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 5 (100.0%), At least 4 (100.0%), At least 6 (100.0%). The market has $190K in volume and closes on Wed, 30 Dec 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 5 | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| At least 4 | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| At least 6 | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| At least 7 | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| At least 8 | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| At least 10 | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| At least 11 | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| At least 12 | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| At least 9 | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $190K
- Liquidity: $190K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 5:
If the number of distinct US states Donald Trump has visited (per VISITAREA rules) is at least 5 in Sep 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. VISITAREA contract: https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/contractterms/VISITAREA.pdf The following do NOT constitute a visit: Flying over the area without landing Layovers during which the person remains in an airplane Virtual or remote appearances Presence in international waters adjacent to the area Presence solely within embassy or consulate grounds Plans, announcements, or scheduling of future visits that do not occur during the applicable time period For the avoidance of doubt, a visit occurs only when the person exits an aircraft, vehicle, vessel, or train within the area, or otherwise physically enters the area not aboard one. Remaining aboard, including during flyovers, drive-throughs, and non-exit refueling stops, does not constitute a visit. Exiting within the area constitutes a visit regardless of duration or method of exit.
Sources
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