How many SpaceX launches in October 2026?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 17:08:25 UTC, Polymarket traders price <14 (78.0%), 14 (31.1%), 15 (28.1%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Sun, 01 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| <14 | 78.0% | 78.0¢ | 22.1¢ |
| 14 | 31.1% | 31.1¢ | 69.0¢ |
| 15 | 28.1% | 28.1¢ | 72.0¢ |
| 16 | 27.6% | 27.6¢ | 72.5¢ |
| 17+ | 1.5% | 1.5¢ | 98.5¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $1K
- Liquidity: $6K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches. In the case of missing or erroneous data from spacex.com, this market will remain open until November 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, to allow for updates. If spacex.com has not updated by November 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources
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