How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (9/26-10/2)
As of Sat, 03 Oct 2026 14:10:57 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 3 (58.0%), At least 5 (32.0%), At least 10 (22.0%). The market has $16K in volume and closes on Sat, 03 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 3 | 58.0% | 58.0¢ | 42.0¢ |
| At least 5 | 32.0% | 32.0¢ | 68.0¢ |
| At least 10 | 22.0% | 22.0¢ | 78.0¢ |
| At least 15 | 17.0% | 17.0¢ | 83.0¢ |
| At least 20 | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| At least 25 | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| At least 50 | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $16K
- Liquidity: $16K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 3:
If Donald Trump endorses at least 3 people for their election on Truth Social from Sep 26, 2026 through Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Any formal endorsement will qualify, including reaffirmations of prior endorsements. If Trump endorses multiple people in an election, all will be counted towards the total. The endorsement must be a clear, affirmative statement of support. Ambiguous statements of support will not qualify. Conditional endorsements will qualify. A person cannot be counted more than once in a given week. Examples: Donald Trump states "I endorse [candidate] for [office]" Donald Trump states "I support [candidate]" referencing a political race Donald Trump states "Vote for [candidate]" publicly Donald Trump states "[candidate] has my full support" for [race] Examples that would NOT count: Trump posts a graphic that says "[Candidate] wins" that merely states as fact they were endorsed by President Trump
Sources
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