How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (10/11-10/17)

As of Sun, 18 Oct 2026 14:12:45 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 5 (1.0%), At least 3 (1.0%), At least 1 (1.0%). The market has $73K in volume and closes on Sun, 18 Oct 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
At least 51.0%1.0¢99.0¢
At least 31.0%1.0¢99.0¢
At least 11.0%1.0¢99.0¢
At least 101.0%1.0¢99.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 5:

If Donald Trump has sent at least 5 nominations to the U.S. Senate from Oct 11, 2026 through Oct 17, 2026 (as checked on the “Presidential Actions” page at whitehouse.gov at 10:00 AM ET on Oct 18, 2026), then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved The market solely resolves to the publication dates visibly displayed on the "Presidential Actions" tab at whitehouse.gov at 10:00 AM ET on Oct 18, 2026. The week runs from Oct 11, 2026 through Oct 17, 2026. Payout criteria If a person receives multiple qualifying nominations within the period, they will each count separately. For example, Trump's March 4 nomination of Kevin Warsh is considered two nominations.

Sources

Related markets

DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.