How many Florida votes will be cast early in person?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:26 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 2.2 million (92.0%), At least 2.5 million (87.0%), At least 2.8 million (78.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Wed, 04 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 2.2 million | 92.0% | 92.0¢ | 8.0¢ |
| At least 2.5 million | 87.0% | 87.0¢ | 13.0¢ |
| At least 2.8 million | 78.0% | 78.0¢ | 22.0¢ |
| At least 3.1 million | 70.0% | 70.0¢ | 30.0¢ |
| At least 3.4 million | 48.0% | 48.0¢ | 52.0¢ |
| At least 3.7 million | 26.0% | 26.0¢ | 74.0¢ |
| At least 4 million | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $1K
- Liquidity: $1K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 2.2 million:
If the number of Florida in-person early votes reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election is at least 2.2 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The value is the headline "In-person early votes" figure at the top of the Florida page of the UF Election Lab's 2026 Early Voting Tracker, as displayed at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026. If the page is unavailable at that time, the inperson_all value for Florida in the UF Election Lab's 2026 early vote data file (https://election.lab.ufl.edu/data-downloads/earlyvote/2026/US.csv) as of that time is used. Updates posted after that time are not counted.
Sources
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