How low will US gas prices get this month?
As of Mon, 02 Nov 2026 00:29:26 UTC, Kalshi traders price Below $4.15 (90.0%), Below $4.10 (63.0%), Below $4.05 (54.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Tue, 01 Dec 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Below $4.15 | 90.0% | 90.0¢ | 10.0¢ |
| Below $4.10 | 63.0% | 63.0¢ | 37.0¢ |
| Below $4.05 | 54.0% | 54.0¢ | 46.0¢ |
| Below $4.00 | 44.0% | 44.0¢ | 56.0¢ |
| Below $3.95 | 26.0% | 26.0¢ | 74.0¢ |
| Below $3.90 | 19.0% | 19.0¢ | 81.0¢ |
| Below $3.85 | 14.0% | 14.0¢ | 86.0¢ |
| Below $3.80 | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| Below $3.70 | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Below $3.75 | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Below $3.65 | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Below $3.60 | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Below $3.50 | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Below $3.55 | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $2K
- Liquidity: $2K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Below $4.15:
If AAA reports that the price of national average regular gas for the US is lower than $4.15 at any time from November 1, 2026 through November 30, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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