How high will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Jan 1, 2027?
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 21:28:54 UTC, Kalshi traders price 5.6% or above (98.0%), 5.4% or above (97.0%), 5.65% or above (96.0%). The market has $53K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5.6% or above | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| 5.4% or above | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| 5.65% or above | 96.0% | 96.0¢ | 4.0¢ |
| 5.36% or above | 86.0% | 86.0¢ | 14.0¢ |
| 5.45% or above | 85.0% | 85.0¢ | 15.0¢ |
| 5.39% or above | 79.0% | 79.0¢ | 21.0¢ |
| 5.7% or above | 54.0% | 54.0¢ | 46.0¢ |
| 5.51% or above | 54.0% | 54.0¢ | 46.0¢ |
| 5.75% or above | 43.0% | 43.0¢ | 57.0¢ |
| 5.8% or above | 34.0% | 34.0¢ | 66.0¢ |
| 5.37% or above | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $53K
- Liquidity: $53K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 5.7% or above:
If the daily published par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.69% on any business day between Sep 28, 2026 and Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. This market covers the period between Sep 28, 2026 and Jan 1, 2027. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 30Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. The first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration. If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.
Sources
Related markets
- How high will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by end of month?
- S&P close price end of 2026?
- Nasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?
- How high will the S&P get this year?
- Will the S&P finish positive this year?
- S&P price on Sep 29, 2026 at 12pm EDT?
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.