Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on...?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 12:50:07 UTC, Polymarket traders price September 18 (53.5%), September 22 (51.0%), September 25 (49.5%). The market has $7K in volume and closes on Fri, 18 Sep 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| September 18 | 53.5% | 53.5¢ | 46.5¢ |
| September 22 | 51.0% | 51.0¢ | 49.0¢ |
| September 25 | 49.5% | 49.5¢ | 50.5¢ |
| September 24 | 46.5% | 46.5¢ | 53.5¢ |
| September 28 | 46.5% | 46.5¢ | 53.5¢ |
| September 26 | 45.5% | 45.5¢ | 54.5¢ |
| September 27 | 24.0% | 24.0¢ | 76.0¢ |
| September 20 | 17.5% | 17.5¢ | 82.5¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $7K
- Liquidity: $257
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Houthis take a qualifying military action against Saudi Arabia on the specified date, Arabia Standard Time (AST). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by the Houthis, that directly impacts Saudi Arabia. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles. The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Munitions destroyed or intercepted before impact; Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed. Any munition that is intercepted or destroyed before impact does not constitute a qualifying military action. Debris, fragments, or any wreckage from intercepted munitions that land on Saudi Arabia do not constitute a military action regardless of any damage incurred. “Saudi Arabia” refers to the terrestrial territory of Saudi Arabia, including its internal waters. Saudi Arabia’s maritime territory and airspace ar…
Sources
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