Houthi military action against Mecca by...?
As of Thu, 17 Sep 2026 16:47:28 UTC, Polymarket traders price December 31 (4.8%), October 31 (3.9%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Thu, 31 Dec 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 4.8% | 4.8¢ | 95.2¢ |
| October 31 | 3.9% | 3.9¢ | 96.2¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $2K
- Liquidity: $22K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Houthis take a qualifying military action against Mecca by the specified date, 11:59 PM Arabia Standard Time (AST). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by the Houthis, that directly impacts Mecca. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles. The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Munitions destroyed or intercepted before impact; Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed. Any munition that is intercepted or destroyed before impact does not constitute a qualifying military action. Debris, fragments, or any wreckage from intercepted munitions that land on Mecca do not constitute a military action regardless of any damage incurred. "Mecca" refers to any areas within the Haram boundary of Makkah, the sacred precinct surrounding the Grand Mosque as delimited by the boundary markers (Ansab al…
Sources
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