Highest sea level in San Diego this winter?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:51:45 UTC, Polymarket traders price 7.70 ft or more (78.5%), 7.90 ft or more (55.5%), 8.10 ft or more (24.0%). The market has $3K in volume and closes on Thu, 01 Apr 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7.70 ft or more | 78.5% | 78.5¢ | 21.5¢ |
| 7.90 ft or more | 55.5% | 55.5¢ | 44.5¢ |
| 8.10 ft or more | 24.0% | 24.0¢ | 76.0¢ |
| 8.30 ft or more | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $3K
- Liquidity: $773
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the water level at NOAA CO-OPS station 9410230 (La Jolla, CA) is equal to or greater than the listed value, in feet above Mean Lower Low Water, at any six-minute observation between 12:00 AM PT on October 1, 2026 and 11:59 PM PT on March 31, 2027. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mean Lower Low Water for this market is the tidal datum published for station 9410230 on the 1983-2001 National Tidal Datum Epoch, equal to 4.37 feet above station datum. A subsequent change to the National Tidal Datum Epoch will not change the values used. Only six-minute water levels that NOAA CO-OPS has marked verified are used. On the resolution source page these are the values in the "Verified (ft)" column; values in the "Preliminary (ft)" and "Predicted (ft)" columns will not be considered for resolution. In the CO-OPS API the equivalent is a Quality field of "v". Values are compared as published, without rounding. CO-OPS verifies each month of data during the following month, so an observation that meets the listed value will not resolve this market until it has been verified. A verified observation is used regardless of any quality-control flag NOAA CO-OPS attaches to it. The value as first published as verified governs. A revision published after that will not be considered for resolution, except where the correction provision below applies. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until t…
Sources
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