Harvard federal sponsored revenue in FY2026?

As of Thu, 15 Oct 2026 07:58:03 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 600 million (97.0%), Above 650 million (83.0%), Above 750 million (64.0%). The market has $42K in volume and closes on Fri, 15 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Above 600 million97.0%97.0¢3.0¢
Above 650 million83.0%83.0¢17.0¢
Above 750 million64.0%64.0¢36.0¢
Above 700 million50.0%50.0¢50.0¢
Above 800 million27.0%27.0¢73.0¢
Above 900 million8.0%8.0¢92.0¢
Above 850 million6.0%6.0¢94.0¢
Above 1 billion5.0%5.0¢95.0¢
Above 950 million3.0%3.0¢97.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 600 million:

If Harvard's federal sponsored revenue is above 600 million dollars in fiscal year 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The figure is the federal sponsored revenue stated in the Financial Overview section of Harvard University's Annual Financial Report for fiscal year 2026, the year ending June 30, 2026. If that section states no federal figure, the sum of the federal direct and indirect cost lines under Sponsored support in the same report's Consolidated Statements of Changes in Net Assets governs. The following will NOT be used to resolve the market: the expenditure total in the report's sponsored support note, which also counts federal work subcontracted to Harvard by other institutions, and any Fact Book total. The figure as first published governs, and a later restatement or reclassification is disregarded.

Sources

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