Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by...?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:06:37 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes (5.0%). The market has $114K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $114K
- Liquidity: $21K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the King of Bahrain, Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa, ceases to be the de facto leader of Bahrain at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Bahrain if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Bahrain within this market's timeframe. An announcement of Khalifa's resignation or abdication will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources
Related markets
- KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?
- Iran leader end of 2026?
- Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
- How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
- US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
- US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.