Grok App Downloads in October 2026

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:02 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 25 (99.0%), Above 55 (84.0%), Above 60 (53.0%). The market has $24K in volume and closes on Sun, 15 Nov 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Above 2599.0%99.0¢1.0¢
Above 5584.0%84.0¢16.0¢
Above 6053.0%53.0¢47.0¢
Above 6519.0%19.0¢81.0¢
Above 709.0%9.0¢91.0¢
Above 903.0%3.0¢97.0¢
Above 1252.0%2.0¢98.0¢
Above 1602.0%2.0¢98.0¢
Above 2252.0%2.0¢98.0¢
Above 5502.0%2.0¢98.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 25:

If the Carbon Arc Grok App Downloads (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 25 , then the market resolves to Yes. For purposes of this market, determination will resolve on finalized Carbon Arc values recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 7th calendar day after the end of the month covered by this market. For example, finalized Carbon Arc values for August will be recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on September 7th. The index measures year-over-year, where 100 means Grok App Downloads was equal to the same month last year. Values above 100 indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% growth, 97 = 3% decline from year prior. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Sources

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