Georgia: Which elections will be won outright?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:11:59 UTC, Kalshi traders price Secretary of State (96.0%), Attorney General (95.0%), Lieutenant Governor (95.0%). The market has $45K in volume and closes on Wed, 03 Nov 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Secretary of State | 96.0% | 96.0¢ | 4.0¢ |
| Attorney General | 95.0% | 95.0¢ | 5.0¢ |
| Lieutenant Governor | 95.0% | 95.0¢ | 5.0¢ |
| Commissioner of Agriculture | 94.0% | 94.0¢ | 6.0¢ |
| Commissioner of Insurance | 94.0% | 94.0¢ | 6.0¢ |
| Governor | 94.0% | 94.0¢ | 6.0¢ |
| Senate | 93.0% | 93.0¢ | 7.0¢ |
| State Superintendent of Schools | 92.0% | 92.0¢ | 8.0¢ |
| Commissioner of Labor | 92.0% | 92.0¢ | 8.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $45K
- Liquidity: $45K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Secretary of State:
If any candidate receives the required threshold of votes (over 50%) to be declared the winner after the first round of voting in the 2026 Georgia Secretary of State general election, eliminating the need for any subsequent rounds, runoffs, or instant-runoff tabulations, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves to Yes if any candidate meets the legal threshold to avoid a second round. In two-round systems, this typically means receiving more than 50% of valid votes in the first round. In instant-runoff/ranked choice voting, this means a candidate received more than 50% of first-preference votes. Some elections use different thresholds (e.g., 40% with a 10-point lead, or 45%), in which case the applicable legal threshold applies. The determination is based solely on the first round/first count of votes, before any eliminations, transfers, or subsequent rounds. Blank votes, null votes, and invalid ballots are excluded unless electoral law specifically includes them. The market resolves once the relevant electoral body declares whether anyone won the first round.
Sources
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