Georgia: Bottoms's margin vs. Ossoff's margin?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 13:58:45 UTC, Kalshi traders price Ossoff by 9-12 (43.0%), Ossoff by 6-9 (35.0%), Ossoff by 3-6 (7.0%). The market has $36K in volume and closes on Wed, 02 Dec 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ossoff by 9-12 | 43.0% | 43.0¢ | 57.0¢ |
| Ossoff by 6-9 | 35.0% | 35.0¢ | 65.0¢ |
| Ossoff by 3-6 | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| Ossoff by 12-15 | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| Ossoff by 15-18 | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Bottoms by 0+ | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Ossoff by 0-3 | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Ossoff by 18+ | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $36K
- Liquidity: $36K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Ossoff by 9-12:
If Jon Ossoff's margin in the Georgia U.S. Senate election minus Keisha Lance Bottoms's margin in the Georgia governor election is between 9 and 12 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Each candidate's margin is their percentage of the total votes cast in their race minus the percentage received by the highest-finishing other candidate in that race, calculated from the certified results. Total votes cast include write-in votes reported in the certified results. A margin is negative if the candidate does not finish first. The difference between the two margins is rounded to two decimal places, and a range includes its lower number but not its upper number. Results of any December 1, 2026 runoff are not used.
Sources
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