FL-17 House election: Matthew Montavon vote percent

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:12 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 32% (93.0%), At least 34% (90.0%), At least 36% (89.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
At least 32%93.0%93.0¢7.0¢
At least 34%90.0%90.0¢10.0¢
At least 36%89.0%89.0¢11.0¢
At least 38%75.0%75.0¢25.0¢
At least 40%56.0%56.0¢44.0¢
At least 42%37.0%37.0¢63.0¢
At least 44%20.0%20.0¢80.0¢
At least 46%9.0%9.0¢91.0¢
At least 48%9.0%9.0¢91.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 32%:

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Matthew Montavon in the 2026 FL-17 House election is 32% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Matthew Montavon ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.

Sources

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