FL-09 House election: Darren Soto vote percent
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:12 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 40% (88.0%), At least 42% (80.0%), At least 44% (69.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 40% | 88.0% | 88.0¢ | 12.0¢ |
| At least 42% | 80.0% | 80.0¢ | 20.0¢ |
| At least 44% | 69.0% | 69.0¢ | 31.0¢ |
| At least 46% | 56.0% | 56.0¢ | 44.0¢ |
| At least 48% | 45.0% | 45.0¢ | 55.0¢ |
| At least 50% | 30.0% | 30.0¢ | 70.0¢ |
| At least 52% | 24.0% | 24.0¢ | 76.0¢ |
| At least 54% | 16.0% | 16.0¢ | 84.0¢ |
| At least 56% | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $2K
- Liquidity: $2K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 40%:
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Darren Soto in the 2026 FL-09 House election is 40% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Darren Soto ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
Sources
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