Federal District Governor Election Winner
As of Sun, 23 Aug 2026 12:24:32 UTC, Polymarket traders price Celina Leão (99.2%), Leandro Grass (0.7%), Elisson (0.4%). The market has $36K in volume and closes on Mon, 05 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Celina Leão | 99.2% | 99.2¢ | 0.9¢ |
| Leandro Grass | 0.7% | 0.7¢ | 99.3¢ |
| Elisson | 0.4% | 0.4¢ | 99.6¢ |
| Expedito Mendonça | 0.3% | 0.3¢ | 99.7¢ |
| Arruda | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ |
| Kiko Caputo | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
| Professor Robson | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
| Professora Samara Mineiro | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
| Paula Belmonte | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
| Cappelli | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $36K
- Liquidity: $283K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
The Federal District gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Sources
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