Elon Musk # tweets October 27 - November 3, 2026?

As of Sat, 24 Oct 2026 08:44:44 UTC, Polymarket traders price 240-259 (13.5%), 220-239 (12.5%), 200-219 (11.5%). The market has $6K in volume and closes on Tue, 03 Nov 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
240-25913.5%13.5¢86.5¢
220-23912.5%12.5¢87.5¢
200-21911.5%11.5¢88.5¢
260-2799.5%9.5¢90.5¢
280-2999.0%9.0¢91.0¢
300-3197.5%7.5¢92.5¢
360-3796.0%6.0¢94.0¢
320-3395.5%5.5¢94.5¢
160-1795.0%5.0¢95.0¢
340-3595.0%5.0¢95.0¢
460-4795.0%5.0¢95.0¢
420-4395.0%5.0¢95.0¢
480-4995.0%5.0¢95.0¢
500-5195.0%5.0¢95.0¢
520-5395.0%5.0¢95.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 27 12:00 PM ET to November 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Sources

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