Democratic Senate odds on October 23?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 10:54:54 UTC, Polymarket traders price 62-64% (48.5%), 64-66% (23.5%), >66% (22.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Fri, 23 Oct 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
62-64%48.5%48.5¢51.5¢
64-66%23.5%23.5¢76.5¢
>66%22.0%22.0¢78.0¢
60-62%1.1%1.1¢98.9¢
58-60%0.9%0.9¢99.1¢
<58%0.6%0.6¢99.4¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 62-64%:

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Democratic Party's hourly odds value in the "Senate Control 2026" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com for the "Time Window (ET)" ending at 12:00 PM ET on October 23, 2026 is 62% or higher and below 64%. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An hourly odds value is the value in the "Odds of Happening" column that PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes for an option for a one-hour "Time Window (ET)", as shown on the listing page and in the "Odds History" graph on that option's detail page. Hourly odds values are compared at the precision published by PredictionMarketOdds.com (one tenth of a percent). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes "NO_PRINT" for the Democratic Party for the specified window, the Democratic Party's most recent published hourly odds value before the specified window will be used. If PredictionMarketOdds.com has not published anything for the specified window (neither an hourly odds value nor "NO_PRINT"), this market will remain open until a value or "NO_PRINT" for that window is published, and may remain open until October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET for that purpose. If nothing has been published for the specified window by that time, the Democratic Party's most recent published hourly odds value before the specified window will be used. If PredictionMarketOdds.com permanently ceases publishing hour…

Sources

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