Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index in October
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:11:58 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above -0.62 (98.0%), Above -0.58 (96.0%), Above -0.60 (96.0%). The market has $10K in volume and closes on Wed, 04 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above -0.62 | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| Above -0.58 | 96.0% | 96.0¢ | 4.0¢ |
| Above -0.60 | 96.0% | 96.0¢ | 4.0¢ |
| Above -0.56 | 93.0% | 93.0¢ | 7.0¢ |
| Above -0.54 | 86.0% | 86.0¢ | 14.0¢ |
| Above -0.52 | 73.0% | 73.0¢ | 27.0¢ |
| Above -0.50 | 56.0% | 56.0¢ | 44.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $10K
- Liquidity: $10K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above -0.62:
If the Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index for the week ending October 23, 2026 is above -0.62, then the market resolves to Yes. The Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index (“NFCI”) refers to the headline NFCI published by the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. It does not refer to the Adjusted National Financial Conditions Index (“ANFCI”) or any individual component or contribution to the NFCI. This market will resolve using the NFCI value for the week ending October 23, 2026 published in the first Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago update that reports that week. Subsequent revisions will not affect settlement.
Sources
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