ChatGPT App Downloads in October
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:11:54 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 35 (99.0%), Above 50 (99.0%), Above 65 (98.0%). The market has $26K in volume and closes on Sun, 15 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 35 | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Above 50 | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Above 65 | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| Above 75 | 89.0% | 89.0¢ | 11.0¢ |
| Above 80 | 42.0% | 42.0¢ | 58.0¢ |
| Above 85 | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
| Above 95 | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Above 110 | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Above 115 | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Above 100 | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Above 105 | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Above 130 | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $26K
- Liquidity: $26K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 35:
If the Carbon Arc ChatGPT App Downloads (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 35 , then the market resolves to Yes. For purposes of this market, determination will resolve on finalized Carbon Arc values recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 7th calendar day after the end of the month covered by this market. For example, finalized Carbon Arc values for August will be recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on September 7th. The index measures year-over-year, where 100 means ChatGPT App Downloads was equal to the same month last year. Values above 100 indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% growth, 97 = 3% decline from year prior. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Sources
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