Carles Puigdemont back in Spain by...?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 13:13:15 UTC, Polymarket traders price December 31 (60.5%), October 31 (10.4%). The market has $14K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 60.5% | 60.5¢ | 39.5¢ |
| October 31 | 10.4% | 10.4¢ | 89.5¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $14K
- Liquidity: $7K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for December 31:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Carles Puigdemont physically enters the terrestrial territory of Spain at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Territory will be considered Spanish if it is administered by Spain at the time of Carles Puigdemont's presence, regardless of whether the territory is disputed. Unless Spain begins to administer the territory, Gibraltar will not count. Whether or not Puigdemont enters Spanish airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, including photographs or video from reputable media outlets.
Sources
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