California's 7th District margin of victory
As of Tue, 03 Nov 2026 14:19:53 UTC, Kalshi traders price Doris Matsui, 1+ pts (74.0%), Doris Matsui, 4+ pts (61.0%), Doris Matsui, 8+ pts (40.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Wed, 03 Nov 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Doris Matsui, 1+ pts | 74.0% | 74.0¢ | 26.0¢ |
| Doris Matsui, 4+ pts | 61.0% | 61.0¢ | 39.0¢ |
| Doris Matsui, 8+ pts | 40.0% | 40.0¢ | 60.0¢ |
| Doris Matsui, 12+ pts | 21.0% | 21.0¢ | 79.0¢ |
| Doris Matsui, 16+ pts | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
| Doris Matsui, 20+ pts | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $1K
- Liquidity: $1K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Doris Matsui, 1+ pts:
If Doris Matsui wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 7th District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Doris Matsui minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Doris Matsui if Doris Matsui wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Doris Matsui loses. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Doris Matsui runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Doris Matsui will be summed. If Doris Matsui wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Doris Matsui loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Doris Matsui ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Doris Matsui is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).
Sources
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