CA-04 House Election Winner (by individual)
As of Sat, 17 Oct 2026 14:34:19 UTC, Polymarket traders price Mike Thompson (78.0%), Eric Jones (21.0%). The market has $10K in volume and closes on Thu, 05 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Thompson | 78.0% | 78.0¢ | 22.0¢ |
| Eric Jones | 21.0% | 21.0¢ | 79.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $10K
- Liquidity: $56K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Sources
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