AZ-05 House election: Elizabeth Lee vote percent
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:13 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 38% (94.0%), At least 36% (92.0%), At least 40% (84.0%). The market has $4K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 38% | 94.0% | 94.0¢ | 6.0¢ |
| At least 36% | 92.0% | 92.0¢ | 8.0¢ |
| At least 40% | 84.0% | 84.0¢ | 16.0¢ |
| At least 42% | 70.0% | 70.0¢ | 30.0¢ |
| At least 44% | 52.0% | 52.0¢ | 48.0¢ |
| At least 46% | 34.0% | 34.0¢ | 66.0¢ |
| At least 48% | 19.0% | 19.0¢ | 81.0¢ |
| At least 50% | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
| At least 52% | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $4K
- Liquidity: $4K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 38%:
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Elizabeth Lee in the 2026 AZ-05 House election is 38% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Elizabeth Lee ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
Sources
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