Arkansas Senate election: Hallie Shoffner vote percent

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:07 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 32% (94.0%), At least 34% (93.0%), At least 36% (90.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
At least 32%94.0%94.0¢6.0¢
At least 34%93.0%93.0¢7.0¢
At least 36%90.0%90.0¢10.0¢
At least 38%88.0%88.0¢12.0¢
At least 40%71.0%71.0¢29.0¢
At least 42%50.0%50.0¢50.0¢
At least 44%31.0%31.0¢69.0¢
At least 46%15.0%15.0¢85.0¢
At least 48%7.0%7.0¢93.0¢
At least 50%5.0%5.0¢95.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 32%:

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Hallie Shoffner in the 2026 Arkansas Senate election is 32% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Hallie Shoffner ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.

Sources

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