AR-01 House election: Rick Crawford vote percent
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:13 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 64% (93.0%), At least 62% (92.0%), At least 66% (81.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 64% | 93.0% | 93.0¢ | 7.0¢ |
| At least 62% | 92.0% | 92.0¢ | 8.0¢ |
| At least 66% | 81.0% | 81.0¢ | 19.0¢ |
| At least 68% | 62.0% | 62.0¢ | 38.0¢ |
| At least 70% | 39.0% | 39.0¢ | 61.0¢ |
| At least 72% | 20.0% | 20.0¢ | 80.0¢ |
| At least 74% | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| At least 76% | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| At least 78% | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $1K
- Liquidity: $1K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 64%:
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Rick Crawford in the 2026 AR-01 House election is 64% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Rick Crawford ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
Sources
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