Another US debt downgrade before 2027?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 01:18:16 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes (11.0%). The market has $14K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 11.0% | 11.0¢ | 89.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $14K
- Liquidity: $377
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources
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