Alaska Senate election: Mary Peltola vote percent (Final Round)
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:06 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 42% (97.0%), At least 44% (96.0%), At least 46% (95.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 42% | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| At least 44% | 96.0% | 96.0¢ | 4.0¢ |
| At least 46% | 95.0% | 95.0¢ | 5.0¢ |
| At least 48% | 91.0% | 91.0¢ | 9.0¢ |
| At least 50% | 75.0% | 75.0¢ | 25.0¢ |
| At least 51% | 53.0% | 53.0¢ | 47.0¢ |
| At least 52% | 22.0% | 22.0¢ | 78.0¢ |
| At least 54% | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| At least 56% | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| At least 58% | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $2K
- Liquidity: $2K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 42%:
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Mary Peltola in the final round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election is 42% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Mary Peltola in the final round ÷ total votes for all candidates remaining in the final round) × 100, rounded to two decimal places; exhausted or inactive ballots are excluded. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. The percentage is based on the final round of the ranked choice tabulation. If a candidate wins a majority in the first round and no further rounds are tabulated, the first round is the final round. If Mary Peltola is eliminated before the final round, her percentage is 0%.
Sources
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