Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:07 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 18% (97.0%), At least 16% (97.0%), At least 20% (97.0%). The market has $7K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
At least 18%97.0%97.0¢3.0¢
At least 16%97.0%97.0¢3.0¢
At least 20%97.0%97.0¢3.0¢
At least 22%94.0%94.0¢6.0¢
At least 24%81.0%81.0¢19.0¢
At least 26%59.0%59.0¢41.0¢
At least 28%35.0%35.0¢65.0¢
At least 30%16.0%16.0¢84.0¢
At least 32%9.0%9.0¢91.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 18%:

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Bernadette Wilson in the first round of the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election is 18% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Bernadette Wilson ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. The percentage is based on the first round of voting.

Sources

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