AL-02 House election: Shomari Figures vote percent

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:13 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 42% (93.0%), At least 40% (92.0%), At least 44% (83.0%). The market has $5K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
At least 42%93.0%93.0¢7.0¢
At least 40%92.0%92.0¢8.0¢
At least 44%83.0%83.0¢17.0¢
At least 46%67.0%67.0¢33.0¢
At least 48%49.0%49.0¢51.0¢
At least 50%28.0%28.0¢72.0¢
At least 52%13.0%13.0¢87.0¢
At least 56%7.0%7.0¢93.0¢
At least 54%6.0%6.0¢94.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 42%:

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Shomari Figures in the 2026 AL-02 House election is 42% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Shomari Figures ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.

Sources

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