Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 02:03:20 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes (2.4%). The market has $24K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 2.4% | 2.4¢ | 97.6¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $24K
- Liquidity: $6K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if definitive evidence confirming that Adam Back is Satoshi Nakamoto, the pseudonymous creator of Bitcoin, is made public by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying evidence includes, but is not limited to, verified documentation, blockchain evidence, or other definitive evidence. If Satoshi Nakamoto is conclusively identified as a group or collective rather than a single individual, definitive evidence that Adam Back was a member of that group will qualify. Unverified or anonymous claims, speculation, memes, jokes, sarcasm, or unsubstantiated reports will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources
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