Kansas Senate election: Roger Marshall vote percent

As of Mon, 26 Oct 2026 07:03:22 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 44% (95.0%), At least 46% (83.0%), At least 48% (59.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
At least 44%95.0%95.0¢5.0¢
At least 46%83.0%83.0¢17.0¢
At least 48%59.0%59.0¢41.0¢
At least 49%44.0%44.0¢56.0¢
At least 50%30.0%30.0¢70.0¢
At least 52%11.0%11.0¢89.0¢
At least 54%6.0%6.0¢94.0¢
At least 58%5.0%5.0¢95.0¢
At least 60%5.0%5.0¢95.0¢
At least 62%5.0%5.0¢95.0¢
At least 56%5.0%5.0¢95.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 44%:

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Roger Marshall in the 2026 Kansas Senate election is 44% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Roger Marshall ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.

Sources

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