VA-09 House election: Morgan Griffith vote percent
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 19:02:22 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 60% (96.0%), At least 62% (92.0%), At least 64% (82.0%). The market has $5K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 60% | 96.0% | 96.0¢ | 4.0¢ |
| At least 62% | 92.0% | 92.0¢ | 8.0¢ |
| At least 64% | 82.0% | 82.0¢ | 18.0¢ |
| At least 66% | 67.0% | 67.0¢ | 33.0¢ |
| At least 68% | 41.0% | 41.0¢ | 59.0¢ |
| At least 70% | 20.0% | 20.0¢ | 80.0¢ |
| At least 72% | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| At least 74% | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| At least 76% | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $5K
- Liquidity: $5K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 60%:
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Morgan Griffith in the 2026 VA-09 House election is 60% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Morgan Griffith ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
Sources
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