VA-04 House election: Robert Murray vote percent
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 19:02:22 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 16% (97.0%), At least 18% (97.0%), At least 20% (97.0%). The market has $4K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 16% | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| At least 18% | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| At least 20% | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| At least 22% | 96.0% | 96.0¢ | 4.0¢ |
| At least 24% | 94.0% | 94.0¢ | 6.0¢ |
| At least 26% | 77.0% | 77.0¢ | 23.0¢ |
| At least 28% | 55.0% | 55.0¢ | 45.0¢ |
| At least 30% | 33.0% | 33.0¢ | 67.0¢ |
| At least 32% | 16.0% | 16.0¢ | 84.0¢ |
| At least 34% | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| At least 36% | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| At least 38% | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $4K
- Liquidity: $4K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 16%:
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Robert Murray in the 2026 VA-04 House election is 16% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Robert Murray ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
Sources
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