VA-03 House election: Edwin Rivera vote percent

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:09 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 20% (96.0%), At least 22% (93.0%), At least 24% (74.0%). The market has $5K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
At least 20%96.0%96.0¢4.0¢
At least 22%93.0%93.0¢7.0¢
At least 24%74.0%74.0¢26.0¢
At least 26%50.0%50.0¢50.0¢
At least 28%27.0%27.0¢73.0¢
At least 30%11.0%11.0¢89.0¢
At least 32%6.0%6.0¢94.0¢
At least 34%3.0%3.0¢97.0¢
At least 36%3.0%3.0¢97.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 20%:

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Edwin Rivera in the 2026 VA-03 House election is 20% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Edwin Rivera ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.

Sources

Related markets

DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.