VA-03 House election: Bobby Scott vote percent
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:09 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 64% (97.0%), At least 66% (96.0%), At least 68% (94.0%). The market has $5K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 64% | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| At least 66% | 96.0% | 96.0¢ | 4.0¢ |
| At least 68% | 94.0% | 94.0¢ | 6.0¢ |
| At least 70% | 83.0% | 83.0¢ | 17.0¢ |
| At least 72% | 63.0% | 63.0¢ | 37.0¢ |
| At least 74% | 39.0% | 39.0¢ | 61.0¢ |
| At least 76% | 18.0% | 18.0¢ | 82.0¢ |
| At least 78% | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| At least 80% | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $5K
- Liquidity: $5K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 64%:
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Bobby Scott in the 2026 VA-03 House election is 64% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Bobby Scott ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
Sources
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