UT-04 House election: Taylor Wright vote percent
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 19:02:22 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 1% (92.0%), At least 2% (60.0%), At least 3% (34.0%). The market has $6K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 1% | 92.0% | 92.0¢ | 8.0¢ |
| At least 2% | 60.0% | 60.0¢ | 40.0¢ |
| At least 3% | 34.0% | 34.0¢ | 66.0¢ |
| At least 4% | 22.0% | 22.0¢ | 78.0¢ |
| At least 5% | 15.0% | 15.0¢ | 85.0¢ |
| At least 6% | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
| At least 7% | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $6K
- Liquidity: $6K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 1%:
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Taylor Wright in the 2026 UT-04 House election is 1% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Taylor Wright ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
Sources
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