TN-05 House election: Chaz Molder vote percent

As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 20:59:32 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 36% (91.0%), At least 38% (91.0%), At least 40% (80.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
At least 36%91.0%91.0¢9.0¢
At least 38%91.0%91.0¢9.0¢
At least 40%80.0%80.0¢20.0¢
At least 42%64.0%64.0¢36.0¢
At least 44%46.0%46.0¢54.0¢
At least 46%31.0%31.0¢69.0¢
At least 48%15.0%15.0¢85.0¢
At least 52%8.0%8.0¢92.0¢
At least 50%7.0%7.0¢93.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 36%:

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Chaz Molder in the 2026 TN-05 House election is 36% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Chaz Molder ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.

Sources

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