SC-04 House election: William Timmons vote percent
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 20:59:31 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 50% (95.0%), At least 52% (88.0%), At least 54% (76.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 50% | 95.0% | 95.0¢ | 5.0¢ |
| At least 52% | 88.0% | 88.0¢ | 12.0¢ |
| At least 54% | 76.0% | 76.0¢ | 24.0¢ |
| At least 56% | 56.0% | 56.0¢ | 44.0¢ |
| At least 58% | 39.0% | 39.0¢ | 61.0¢ |
| At least 60% | 22.0% | 22.0¢ | 78.0¢ |
| At least 62% | 11.0% | 11.0¢ | 89.0¢ |
| At least 64% | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
| At least 66% | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $2K
- Liquidity: $2K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 50%:
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by William Timmons in the 2026 SC-04 House election is 50% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by William Timmons ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
Sources
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