PA-12 House election: James Hayes vote percent
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 20:59:33 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 30% (94.0%), At least 32% (87.0%), At least 34% (76.0%). The market has $6K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 30% | 94.0% | 94.0¢ | 6.0¢ |
| At least 32% | 87.0% | 87.0¢ | 13.0¢ |
| At least 34% | 76.0% | 76.0¢ | 24.0¢ |
| At least 36% | 65.0% | 65.0¢ | 35.0¢ |
| At least 38% | 49.0% | 49.0¢ | 51.0¢ |
| At least 40% | 34.0% | 34.0¢ | 66.0¢ |
| At least 42% | 19.0% | 19.0¢ | 81.0¢ |
| At least 44% | 12.0% | 12.0¢ | 88.0¢ |
| At least 46% | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $6K
- Liquidity: $6K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 30%:
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by James Hayes in the 2026 PA-12 House election is 30% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by James Hayes ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
Sources
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