NJ-04 House election: Chris Smith vote percent
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:11:57 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 54% (93.0%), At least 56% (90.0%), At least 58% (89.0%). The market has $7K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 54% | 93.0% | 93.0¢ | 7.0¢ |
| At least 56% | 90.0% | 90.0¢ | 10.0¢ |
| At least 58% | 89.0% | 89.0¢ | 11.0¢ |
| At least 60% | 75.0% | 75.0¢ | 25.0¢ |
| At least 62% | 57.0% | 57.0¢ | 43.0¢ |
| At least 64% | 37.0% | 37.0¢ | 63.0¢ |
| At least 66% | 21.0% | 21.0¢ | 79.0¢ |
| At least 68% | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
| At least 70% | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $7K
- Liquidity: $7K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 54%:
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Chris Smith in the 2026 NJ-04 House election is 54% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Chris Smith ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
Sources
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