MN-05 House election: Ilhan Omar vote percent
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:10 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 70% (95.0%), At least 72% (88.0%), At least 74% (73.0%). The market has $5K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 70% | 95.0% | 95.0¢ | 5.0¢ |
| At least 72% | 88.0% | 88.0¢ | 12.0¢ |
| At least 74% | 73.0% | 73.0¢ | 27.0¢ |
| At least 76% | 52.0% | 52.0¢ | 48.0¢ |
| At least 78% | 30.0% | 30.0¢ | 70.0¢ |
| At least 80% | 13.0% | 13.0¢ | 87.0¢ |
| At least 82% | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
| At least 86% | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| At least 84% | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $5K
- Liquidity: $5K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 70%:
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Ilhan Omar in the 2026 MN-05 House election is 70% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Ilhan Omar ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
Sources
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