MN-01 House election: Jake Johnson vote percent

As of Mon, 26 Oct 2026 19:43:24 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 40% (95.0%), At least 42% (95.0%), At least 44% (92.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
At least 40%95.0%95.0¢5.0¢
At least 42%95.0%95.0¢5.0¢
At least 44%92.0%92.0¢8.0¢
At least 46%87.0%87.0¢13.0¢
At least 48%68.0%68.0¢32.0¢
At least 49%55.0%55.0¢45.0¢
At least 50%37.0%37.0¢63.0¢
At least 52%18.0%18.0¢82.0¢
At least 54%6.0%6.0¢94.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 40%:

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Jake Johnson in the 2026 MN-01 House election is 40% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Jake Johnson ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.

Sources

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